ICG/PTWS Scientific meeting of experts to understand tsunami sources, hazards, risk and uncertainties associated with the Colombia-Ecuador Subduction Zone

27 - 29 January 2020,

Hotel Palace
Guayaquil
Ecuador

Annotated Agenda

1 1 FOCUS: OPENING AND SCIENCE TOPICS
1.1 Welcome and introductions/role of IOC, CPPS and ICG-PTWS
1.2 Overview of meeting aims/objectives/IOC requirements and expectations of experts meeting
1.3 Discussion on regional and global implications: ? How this work will impact our understanding of the hazard and risk ? What are the impacts on science research? ? What are the constraints?
1.4 Presentation and discussion of ‘what do we want to achieve?’ and key priorities. • Discuss meeting outcomes (Ocean Decade)
1.5 Current state scientific update (Introduction to the Afternoon session) per discipline (30mins each):
1.5.1 Tsunami Modelling
1.5.2 Seismology-slow earthquakes
1.5.3 Paleotsunamis en las costas de Ecuador
1.5.4 GNSS/Geodesy -- GPS Network Operating on the Ecuadorian-Esmeraldas section of the coastline
1.5.5 Tsunami Early Warning (Ecuador)
1.5.6 Tsunami Early Warning (Colombia)
1.5.7 Tsunami Early Warning (CATAC-Central America) for Colombia-Ecuador sources
2 2 FOCUS: Finalize Science Topics and Open Discussion on Seismic Source
2.1 Re-confirm and reflection on scientific updates from the previous day. Next steps for the day
2.2 State of Evacuation Mapping and Emergency Response in Colombia
2.3 State of Evacuation Mapping and Emergency Response in Ecuador
2.4 Benefits of Standardized HA
2.5 Lessons learnt at OSSO, Colombia, on environment and exposed population, Threat and Support to Mitigation
2.6 Open Group discussion on source identification: • Worst Credible Scenario (MCE) • Mmax • Segmentation • Deterministic vs. probabilistic approaches - what scenarios we are suggesting. • Uncertainty in source parameters 14:00 – 17:00 Group Discussion
3 3 FOCUS: Open Discussion on Tsunami Source Impact and Report Planning
3.1 Re-confirm and test meeting outcomes following Day 3 (what can/we need to achieve and priorities)
3.2 Elicitation process on seismic source model to support tsunami discussions (potential models that can be tested)
3.3 Group discussion
3.4 Summary and conclusions on group discussion
3.5 Report Assignments and Deadlines
4 4 FOCUS: Public Awareness Event and Closing
4.1 Public Awareness Event
4.2 Closing Remarks