Experts Meeting Earthquake and Tsunami Hazard in Northern Haiti: Historical Events and Potential Sources

10 - 11 July 2013,

Port au Prince
Haiti



Agenda



1 DAY 1
1.2 Welcome and Introduction to Workshop, Goals and Objectives, Bernardo Aliaga (UNESCO)
1.3 PLENARY. Input Required for Tsunami and Earthquake Hazard Modeling. A table with the parameters of the faults to be used for the hazard and risk modeling will be presented. The participants will be requested to agree on the content of the table. Moderator: Victor Huerfano (PRSN)
1.4 PANEL: What do we know about the sources of earthquake and tsunami hazard in Northern Haiti? Any faults identified in these presentations should be added to the Northern Haiti Earthquake and Tsunami Source Table Moderator: Emile Okal (Northwestern University) Contribution of geodetic measurements of present-day deformation in the northeastern Caribbean to the earthquake hazard posed by active faults in the region –Eric Calais (ENS) Tsunami hazard for Haiti - Narcisse Zahibo (UAG)
1.5 PANEL. Offshore Sources Relevant to Northern Haiti – Was the 1842 earthquake generated along any of these sources? What are the parameters of the offshore faults that should be used for the Earthquake and Tsunami hazard and risk studies? Updates for Northern Haiti Earthquake and Tsunami Source Table Moderator: Brian Tucker (Geohazards International) Active fault pattern around Northern Haiti from bathymetric and seismic data (Haiti-OBS and Haiti-SIS cruise) - Bernard Mercier de Lépinay (Université de Nice - Sophia Antipolis, France) Seismic Source Model for Puerto Rico and Mona Passage and Seismic Source Model for Northern Caribbean-North American Plate Boundary Zone (pending approval from Bechtel Corp.) – Roland La Forge (Fugro Consultants) Identification and Modeling submarine landslides relevant to Northern Haiti, including a review of the 1946 earthquakes – Alberto Lopez (UPRM)
1.6 Working Groups. WG1. Offshore fault sources in Northern Haiti for earthquake and tsunami modeling. What faults should be considered and what are the parameters? WG2. Regional and teleseismic offshore fault sources for Northern Haiti (Puerto Rico, Southern Cuba, Lisbon, etc.) for more tsunami modeling. What faults should be considered and what are the parameters? WG3. Recommendations on other considerations for Tsunami modeling, eg. Bathymetry and topography, what should be the resolution for the DEM (90 m, 30 m, 10 m?). In the absence of modeling what recommendation should be given with respect to areas that need to be evacuated (3 km or 25 m, like US NTHMP)?
1.7 Presentation of Results of Working Group and Summary of the Day’s Discussions and Recommendations – Brian Tucker
1.8 Meeting of Technical Report Committee
2 DAY 2
2.1 Panel Onshore earthquake and tsunami sources relevant to Northern Haiti (20 minutes each presenter) Moderator: Alberto Lopez Paleoseismology of the Septentrional Fault and constraints on the interpretation of historical earthquakes - Carol Prentice (USGS) Tsunami Potential along the EPGF: Past, Present, and Future - Matt Hornbach (Southern Methodist University)
2.2 Working Groups. WG4. Onshore fault sources in Northern Haiti. For earthquake and tsunami modeling. What faults should be considered and what are the parameters. WG5. Non seismic sources for tsunamis eg. Landslides. Should non seismic sources be considered for tsunami hazard assessments for northern Haiti? How can these sources be defined? What parameters are needed, propose table like that used for faults. WG6. What site specific ground conditions need to be taken into consideration in seismic hazard assessments for Northern Haiti.
2.3 Reporting Back of WG 4, WG5 and WG 6 Chair Bernard Mercier de Lépinay
2.4 Panel. What is the status of historical and instrumental seismic data and how can it be used for Tsunami and Earthquake Studies. Reference should be made to table of Northern Haiti Earthquake and Tsunami Sources (10 minutes each presentation). Moderator: Roland La Forge The Haiti earthquake 2010: 3D dynamic rupture simulation across complex faults system - Roby Douilly (Purdue University) Seismic Network and Data for Haiti, Claude Prepetit (Bureau de Mines) Developing input for Tsunami Modeling and Earthquake scenarios using Seismic Network Data, Victor Huerfano (PRSN)
2.5 How to determine the maximum size of earthquakes for tsunami and earthquake hazard analysis for northern Haiti –Based on Lessons learned from Japan and elsewhere– Emile Okal (Northwestern University).
2.6 Working Groups. WG7. Review table of all sources for earthquake and tsunami modeling for Northern Haiti. Recommendations for future work. WG8. Review of status of earthquake and tsunami monitoring in Haiti and recommendations
2.7 Plenary. Presentation of Recommendations of WG and final recommendations of meeting. Eric Calais, Chair.